Thursday, September 24, 2009

Nobody 2010: We can sink into the gulf all by ourselves

Thank you very much.

As much as I had my fingers crossed for a 40-50 candidate brouhaha, it's starting to look like this might only have 2-4 candidates capable of raising the $300,000 needed to make the smallest of dents.

Here are the odds as I see them for what the runoff could look like:

Georges v. Murray - 3:1
Georges v. Badon - 7:1
Badon v. Murray - 30:1
Murray v. Sapir - 150:1
Sapir v. Badon - 250:1

All of these scenarios look ugly. I see dwindling prospects for whatever viable alternatives might exist in our collective imagination.